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 Continuation Bets?

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henderson



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PostSubject: Continuation Bets?   Thu Jul 22, 2010 5:11 am

I have a problem with them. I don't like them. I usually just end up losing the money. If I miss the flop, I don't like to bet, except for the occasional situational bluff and semi-bluff. Poker Bonus



If you raised pre-flop and hit big, you are often going to check till the turn anyway. So your opponent isn't necessarily going to "know" whether you missed or hit. Blackjack



But some people seem to think a continuation bet is usually in order.

Any thoughts? Thanks.

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Rules of blackjack for the dealer, he must make an attack on 16 or below and stand on 17 or above. If he passes 21, he then went bankrupt.

If you follow these same rules, you have the same chance as the dealer for any of the total. If you have the same total amount, you do not win or lose their money. This is known as the stand off. If you have a higher total than the dealer, you win, or a lower total amount that you lose.

So, where casinos make their money, or how they get "home advantage", is the fact that you play your hand before the dealer. So, if you both go to 21 (or depression), the dealer still wins your money.
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This was calculated using the statistics of probability, that the chance of a dealer, a bankrupt, is 28%. If you follow the same rules as the dealer, you also have a 28% chance "to go bankrupt." Chance to both of you "fail" Poker Stats
on the same hand is 28% x 28% = 7.84%. This - an advantage at home. However, you become a money paid 3-2 for a natural blackjack, while the dealer receives even money, thus reducing the house advantage to 5.9%.

What this means - that if you bet $ 100, then you would expect to lose $ 5.90. Internet casino poker





Last edited by henderson on Fri Aug 20, 2010 10:50 am; edited 1 time in total
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PostSubject: Re: Continuation Bets?   Thu Jul 22, 2010 10:09 am

To me, making a continuation bet really depends on what level your playing at and how your opponents are playing as well as your position and the number of players in the pot. The best spot to make a continuation bet is usually with only one player behind you because two out of three times there not going to connect on the flop and the more players your up against your odds obviously get worse.

Basically, you'll be in spots where you'll need to make this play sometimes but it doesn't need to be used in every hand. Just pay attention to your opponents play, bet accordingly and don't invest to much into the pot "2/3 - 3/4 of the pot will usually do the trick".
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PostSubject: Re: Continuation Bets?   Mon Jul 26, 2010 11:15 am

I totally agree with Jason's first paragraph. But you must also control the pot size to you level of stack committment, you really dont want to build a big pot if you dont have the chip stack to protect the pot you have built.

66-75% is a good amount, particularly if you have pre flop raised (3-4bb's) with a mid pocket say 1010 jj. and you got insta called.

I would check to the turn if I saw a rainbow, 3 unders, etc. I wouldnt check if I saw something like AQ10, KJ10, 8910, 789, AKQ, AQJ etc. If you even suspect for a second he had 2 overs and you see a potential draws, you need to find out where you are without appearing weak. So I would continue. The only expection to this for me is where the player i am against has been playing weak and I have now put him on an over pair, I chase that free card and check.

A lot of players place a lot of faith in AK AQ, not many place the same faith in a small pair. which I will call pre flop for the right price. I see 3 overs and cant get a freebie, easy fold.

Steve
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